Betting Lines
| Spread | RAD -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | PRES +130 RAD -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRES win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RAD +13 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | PRES -0.2 (-13.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.7 (+13.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RAD -1.2 (-11.8) | 139.5 (+11.5) | 38% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RAD -1.2 (-11.8) | 136.1 (+14.9) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RAD -1.7 (-11.3) | 138.7 (+12.3) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RAD -1.4 (-11.6) | 140.0 (+11.0) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | PRES 91 – 85 RAD |
| Jan 31, 2026 | RAD 93 – 84 PRES |
| Jan 8, 2026 | RAD 80 – 61 PRES |
| Mar 7, 2025 | RAD 74 – 69 PRES |
| Feb 22, 2025 | PRES 80 – 73 RAD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRES | RAD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 9-7 |
| Home | 8-5 | 10-3 |
| Away | 4-12 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.9 | 71.0 |
| Massey | -5.5 (#255) | -2.3 (#205) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.31 (#281) | 0.30 (#147) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.58 (#281) | 0.47 (#145) |
| RPI | 0.418 (#311) | 0.521 (#141) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRES | RAD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 35.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 30.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.6% | 29.4% |
Game Analysis
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