You scumbag, you maggot, you cheap lousy faggot "Fairytale of New York" - The Pogues
Southwestern Athletic Conference · Fredrick C. Hobdy Assembly Center · January 27, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread GRAM -16.5 Away covered
O/U 128.5 Under
Money GRAM -2500 / MVSU +1400
Model Predictions
Spread Total GRAM win
Actual GRAM +8 100 Won
Massey GRAM -19.5 (-11.5) — —
Massey Totals — 125.4 (-25.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 99% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 100% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML GRAM -14.0 (-6.0) 129.4 (-29.4) 89% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ GRAM -14.3 (-6.3) 126.4 (-26.4) 90% ✓
Baseline Plus ML GRAM -16.4 (-8.4) 126.4 (-26.4) 89% ✓
Baseline ML GRAM -15.4 (-7.4) 127.2 (-27.2) 90% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 10, 2026 GRAM 77 – 52 MVSU
Feb 24, 2026 GRAM 83 – 62 MVSU
Jan 26, 2025 GRAM 65 – 54 MVSU
Jan 22, 2023 GRAM 65 – 61 MVSU
Jan 22, 2022 GRAM 68 – 64 MVSU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings GRAM MVSU
Overall 21-15 1-30
Conference 14-4 1-17
Home 9-3 1-8
Away 7-9 0-22
Neutral 5-3 0-0
Last 5 4-1 0-5
Streak L1 L3
Avg Pts For 65.4 55.5
Avg Pts Against 69.5 77.7
Massey -8.7 (#309) -24.5 (#363)
Bradley-Terry -1.15 (#283) -4.71 (#363)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.07 (#261) -6.44 (#363)
RPI 0.461 (#249) 0.372 (#353)
Shooting & Four Factors GRAM MVSU
FG% 41.9% 37.2%
3PT% 30.3% 27.3%
REB / G 28.7 29.3
OREB / G 8.3 9.9
AST / TO 0.58 0.46
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.4% 40.7%
TOV% 21.4% 24.9%
ORB% 26.4% 28.3%
FT Rate 23.3% 20.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.5% 58.0%
Opp TOV% 18.5% 15.9%
DRB% 67.0% 62.8%
Opp FT Rate 25.5% 28.9%

Game Analysis

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