Betting Lines
| Spread | GRAM -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | MVSU +350 GRAM -400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MVSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GRAM +4 | 126 | Lost |
| Massey | GRAM -10.9 (+6.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.8 (+1.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GRAM -10.5 (+6.5) | 131.1 (-5.1) | 15% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GRAM -10.1 (+6.1) | 129.3 (-3.3) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GRAM -10.7 (+6.7) | 131.6 (-5.6) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GRAM -10.3 (+6.3) | 132.8 (-6.8) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2026 | GRAM 77 – 52 MVSU |
| Feb 24, 2026 | GRAM 83 – 62 MVSU |
| Jan 26, 2025 | GRAM 65 – 54 MVSU |
| Jan 27, 2024 | GRAM 54 – 46 MVSU |
| Jan 22, 2022 | GRAM 68 – 64 MVSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MVSU | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-27 | 24-9 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 15-3 |
| Home | 4-6 | 11-1 |
| Away | 1-19 | 9-6 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.0 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.8 | 63.1 |
| Massey | -16.4 (#358) | -1.9 (#214) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.89 (#354) | -0.10 (#184) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.35 (#353) | 0.12 (#165) |
| RPI | 0.364 (#352) | 0.485 (#207) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MVSU | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.3% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.55 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.3% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 24.3% | 22.1% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 66.3% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 28.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.