Betting Lines
| Spread | GRAM -16.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
| Money | MVSU +1300 GRAM -4000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MVSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GRAM +11 | 119 | Lost |
| Massey | GRAM -17.7 (+6.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.7 (-11.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GRAM -13.0 (+2.0) | 129.1 (-10.1) | 13% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GRAM -12.7 (+1.7) | 124.9 (-5.9) | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GRAM -13.9 (+2.9) | 126.8 (-7.8) | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GRAM -12.3 (+1.3) | 126.7 (-7.7) | 12% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2026 | GRAM 77 – 52 MVSU |
| Feb 24, 2026 | GRAM 83 – 62 MVSU |
| Jan 27, 2024 | GRAM 54 – 46 MVSU |
| Jan 22, 2023 | GRAM 65 – 61 MVSU |
| Jan 22, 2022 | GRAM 68 – 64 MVSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MVSU | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3-28 | 12-22 |
| Conference | 1-17 | 7-11 |
| Home | 2-9 | 6-7 |
| Away | 1-19 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L9 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 52.4 | 64.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.3 | 69.3 |
| Massey | -30.2 (#364) | -9.2 (#312) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.88 (#364) | -3.18 (#356) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -6.61 (#364) | -4.15 (#358) |
| RPI | 0.366 (#356) | 0.370 (#351) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MVSU | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.8% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 25.5% | 29.7% |
| REB / G | 26.4 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.43 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 40.4% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 25.2% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 23.3% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 18.2% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 60.6% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 59.2% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.1% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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