You know he knows just exactly what the facts is. "Take the Money and Run" - The Steve Miller Band
Southwestern Athletic Conference · Fredrick C. Hobdy Assembly Center · January 22, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread GRAM -12.0 Away covered
O/U 146.5 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total GRAM win
Actual GRAM +4 132 Won
Massey GRAM -15.4 (-11.4)
Massey Totals 151.8 (-19.8)
Bradley-Terry 92%
Weighted B-T 96%
Baseline Plus ML GRAM -10.1 (-6.1) 150.9 (-18.9) 85%
Model 4 ML GRAM -10.3 (-6.3) 150.3 (-18.3) 86%
Model 3 ML GRAM -11.3 (-7.3) 150.0 (-18.0) 87%
Baseline ML GRAM -10.7 (-6.7) 149.1 (-17.1) 86%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 10, 2026 GRAM 7752 MVSU
Feb 24, 2026 GRAM 8362 MVSU
Jan 26, 2025 GRAM 6554 MVSU
Jan 27, 2024 GRAM 5446 MVSU
Jan 22, 2023 GRAM 6561 MVSU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings GRAM MVSU
Overall 12-20 2-26
Conference 9-9 2-16
Home 7-4 0-11
Away 4-14 2-15
Neutral 2-2 0-0
Last 5 2-3 1-4
Streak L1 L5
Avg Pts For 65.0 67.2
Avg Pts Against 72.3 83.0
Massey -9.8 (#323) -21.6 (#357)
Bradley-Terry -1.78 (#312) -3.70 (#354)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.39 (#319) -4.93 (#354)
RPI 0.434 (#293) 0.345 (#353)
Shooting & Four Factors GRAM MVSU
FG% 39.5% 36.5%
3PT% 32.5% 28.7%
REB / G 33.0 30.4
OREB / G 9.2 10.2
AST / TO 0.64 0.83
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 44.1% 42.1%
TOV% 21.0% 18.9%
ORB% 25.5% 23.8%
FT Rate 24.6% 18.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.9% 60.2%
Opp TOV% 18.4% 21.9%
DRB% 64.3% 64.5%
Opp FT Rate 27.2% 27.1%

Game Analysis

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