Betting Lines
| Spread | GRAM -12.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GRAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GRAM +4 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | GRAM -15.4 (-11.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.8 (-19.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GRAM -11.3 (-7.3) | 150.0 (-18.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GRAM -10.3 (-6.3) | 150.3 (-18.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GRAM -10.1 (-6.1) | 150.9 (-18.9) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GRAM -10.7 (-6.7) | 149.1 (-17.1) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2026 | GRAM 77 – 52 MVSU |
| Feb 24, 2026 | GRAM 83 – 62 MVSU |
| Jan 26, 2025 | GRAM 65 – 54 MVSU |
| Jan 27, 2024 | GRAM 54 – 46 MVSU |
| Jan 22, 2023 | GRAM 65 – 61 MVSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GRAM | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 2-26 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 2-16 |
| Home | 7-4 | 0-11 |
| Away | 4-14 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.0 | 67.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 83.0 |
| Massey | -9.8 (#323) | -21.6 (#357) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.78 (#312) | -3.70 (#354) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.39 (#319) | -4.93 (#354) |
| RPI | 0.434 (#293) | 0.345 (#353) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GRAM | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.5% | 36.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 28.7% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 30.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.64 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.1% | 42.1% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 25.5% | 23.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 18.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 60.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 21.9% |
| DRB% | 64.3% | 64.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.2% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
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