Betting Lines
| Spread | FLA -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Over |
| Money | FLA -350 UGA +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FLA +4 | 200 | Won |
| Massey | FLA -8.7 (-4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.2 (+38.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FLA -8.0 (-4.0) | 157.2 (+42.8) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FLA -6.5 (-2.5) | 155.7 (+44.3) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FLA -6.4 (-2.4) | 157.9 (+42.1) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FLA -6.5 (-2.5) | 159.0 (+41.0) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | FLA 86 – 66 UGA |
| Jan 7, 2026 | FLA 92 – 77 UGA |
| Feb 26, 2025 | UGA 88 – 83 FLA |
| Jan 25, 2025 | FLA 89 – 59 UGA |
| Mar 15, 2024 | FLA 85 – 80 UGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FLA | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 20-17 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 6-12 |
| Home | 14-1 | 13-6 |
| Away | 3-7 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 7-4 | 1-5 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 85.6 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.2 | 74.7 |
| Massey | 11.8 (#38) | 6.8 (#85) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.89 (#46) | 2.10 (#35) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.57 (#38) | 2.34 (#48) |
| RPI | 0.594 (#40) | 0.602 (#32) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FLA | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 44.5 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 16.3 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 40.4% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 31.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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