Betting Lines
| Spread | FLA -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 172.5 Under |
| Money | FLA -470 UGA +360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FLA +15 | 169 | Won |
| Massey | FLA -0.7 (+14.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 173.7 (-4.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FLA -3.5 (+11.5) | 165.2 (+3.8) | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FLA -4.6 (+10.4) | 162.9 (+6.1) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FLA -2.9 (+12.1) | 168.7 (+0.3) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FLA -2.9 (+12.1) | 165.9 (+3.1) | 57% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | FLA 86 – 66 UGA |
| Feb 26, 2025 | UGA 88 – 83 FLA |
| Jan 25, 2025 | FLA 89 – 59 UGA |
| Mar 15, 2024 | FLA 85 – 80 UGA |
| Feb 17, 2024 | FLA 88 – 82 UGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FLA | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 10-8 |
| Home | 14-1 | 14-4 |
| Away | 8-2 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 5-5 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 87.1 | 89.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 79.8 |
| Massey | 17.2 (#21) | 20.3 (#12) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.01 (#49) | 2.69 (#29) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.31 (#34) | 3.56 (#31) |
| RPI | 0.596 (#43) | 0.596 (#42) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FLA | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 49.5% |
| 3PT% | 28.0% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 46.7 | 43.5 |
| OREB / G | 17.0 | 14.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.43 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 56.6% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 14.6% |
| ORB% | 43.9% | 38.2% |
| FT Rate | 29.7% | 32.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 45.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 76.6% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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