Betting Lines
| Spread | FLA -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | UGA +230 FLA -280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UGA +5 | 171 | Won |
| Massey | FLA -7.1 (+12.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.7 (+25.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 11% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FLA -4.1 (+9.1) | 146.0 (+25.0) | 41% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FLA -5.2 (+10.2) | 147.3 (+23.7) | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FLA -4.9 (+9.9) | 145.8 (+25.2) | 28% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FLA -4.9 (+9.9) | 146.1 (+24.9) | 41% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | FLA 86 – 66 UGA |
| Jan 7, 2026 | FLA 92 – 77 UGA |
| Jan 25, 2025 | FLA 89 – 59 UGA |
| Mar 15, 2024 | FLA 85 – 80 UGA |
| Feb 17, 2024 | FLA 88 – 82 UGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UGA | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 36-4 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 14-4 |
| Home | 15-3 | 15-1 |
| Away | 3-7 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 14-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | W12 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 84.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 69.6 |
| Massey | 13.3 (#41) | 23.5 (#4) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.31 (#35) | 4.41 (#2) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.08 (#34) | 5.79 (#2) |
| RPI | 0.576 (#50) | 0.651 (#5) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UGA | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 42.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 13.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.49 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 54.4% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 36.8% | 38.1% |
| FT Rate | 27.7% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.6% | 44.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 67.2% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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