Betting Lines
| Spread | FLA -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | FLA -350 UGA +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FLA +5 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | FLA -6.7 (-1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.1 (+5.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FLA -5.6 (-0.6) | 156.2 (+8.8) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FLA -6.3 (-1.3) | 155.5 (+9.5) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FLA -6.0 (-1.0) | 152.4 (+12.6) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FLA -6.1 (-1.1) | 152.2 (+12.8) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | FLA 86 – 66 UGA |
| Jan 7, 2026 | FLA 92 – 77 UGA |
| Feb 26, 2025 | UGA 88 – 83 FLA |
| Jan 25, 2025 | FLA 89 – 59 UGA |
| Feb 17, 2024 | FLA 88 – 82 UGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FLA | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 20-17 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 6-12 |
| Home | 14-1 | 13-6 |
| Away | 3-7 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 7-4 | 1-5 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 85.6 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.2 | 74.7 |
| Massey | 12.7 (#30) | 6.0 (#93) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.07 (#32) | 1.16 (#91) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.83 (#23) | 1.38 (#92) |
| RPI | 0.592 (#28) | 0.534 (#109) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FLA | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 43.0 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 15.2 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 38.6% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 27.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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