Betting Lines
| Spread | FLA -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Over |
| Money | UGA +145 FLA -188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FLA +6 | 170 | Lost |
| Massey | FLA -3.1 (-2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.1 (+7.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FLA -1.7 (-4.3) | 159.5 (+10.5) | 40% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FLA -3.9 (-2.1) | 159.2 (+10.8) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FLA -1.9 (-4.1) | 156.6 (+13.4) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FLA -1.8 (-4.2) | 158.0 (+12.0) | 43% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | FLA 86 – 66 UGA |
| Jan 7, 2026 | FLA 92 – 77 UGA |
| Feb 26, 2025 | UGA 88 – 83 FLA |
| Jan 25, 2025 | FLA 89 – 59 UGA |
| Mar 15, 2024 | FLA 85 – 80 UGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UGA | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-17 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 11-7 |
| Home | 13-6 | 14-1 |
| Away | 6-6 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 1-5 | 7-4 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 85.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.7 | 79.2 |
| Massey | 6.2 (#92) | 12.6 (#33) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.37 (#75) | 2.17 (#30) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.58 (#82) | 2.84 (#22) |
| RPI | 0.555 (#89) | 0.604 (#27) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UGA | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 44.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 16.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 40.2% |
| FT Rate | 28.9% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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