Betting Lines
| Spread | FLA -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | FLA -800 UGA +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FLA +30 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | FLA -10.2 (+19.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.6 (+2.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FLA -11.2 (+18.8) | 141.7 (+6.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FLA -10.0 (+20.0) | 141.5 (+6.5) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FLA -10.1 (+19.9) | 140.8 (+7.2) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FLA -11.8 (+18.2) | 141.6 (+6.4) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | FLA 86 – 66 UGA |
| Jan 7, 2026 | FLA 92 – 77 UGA |
| Feb 26, 2025 | UGA 88 – 83 FLA |
| Mar 15, 2024 | FLA 85 – 80 UGA |
| Feb 17, 2024 | FLA 88 – 82 UGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FLA | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 36-4 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 8-10 |
| Home | 15-1 | 15-3 |
| Away | 7-3 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 14-0 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W12 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 84.8 | 75.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 21.6 (#4) | 14.8 (#31) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.79 (#6) | 2.73 (#24) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.37 (#4) | 3.81 (#23) |
| RPI | 0.641 (#14) | 0.601 (#34) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FLA | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 47.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 44.5 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 15.2 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.41 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 53.6% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 40.7% | 37.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 30.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.2% | 44.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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