Betting Lines
| Spread | FLA -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 164.5 Under |
| Money | UGA +340 FLA -440 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FLA +20 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | FLA -2.8 (-17.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 169.7 (-17.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FLA -3.2 (-16.8) | 166.1 (-14.1) | 35% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FLA -1.2 (-18.8) | 167.1 (-15.1) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FLA -3.4 (-16.6) | 164.1 (-12.1) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FLA -3.4 (-16.6) | 162.6 (-10.6) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 7, 2026 | FLA 92 – 77 UGA |
| Feb 26, 2025 | UGA 88 – 83 FLA |
| Jan 25, 2025 | FLA 89 – 59 UGA |
| Mar 15, 2024 | FLA 85 – 80 UGA |
| Feb 17, 2024 | FLA 88 – 82 UGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UGA | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 16-2 |
| Home | 14-4 | 14-1 |
| Away | 6-4 | 8-2 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 5-5 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 89.4 | 87.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.8 | 71.5 |
| Massey | 17.5 (#24) | 23.3 (#5) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.30 (#42) | 3.18 (#20) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.21 (#37) | 4.50 (#16) |
| RPI | 0.577 (#55) | 0.634 (#15) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UGA | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 28.8% |
| REB / G | 40.4 | 46.2 |
| OREB / G | 13.9 | 16.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.34 | 1.40 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 14.5% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 36.5% | 43.2% |
| FT Rate | 29.5% | 27.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 46.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 64.4% | 76.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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