Betting Lines
| Spread | JKST -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | BCU +170 JKST -163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BCU +11 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | JKST -1.9 (+12.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.7 (+2.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 33% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JKST -2.1 (+13.1) | 147.4 (+5.6) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JKST -2.3 (+13.3) | 147.9 (+5.1) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | JKST -1.8 (+12.8) | 150.3 (+2.7) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JKST -2.0 (+13.0) | 149.4 (+3.6) | 46% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2026 | JKST 91 – 86 BCU |
| Jan 24, 2026 | BCU 85 – 48 JKST |
| Mar 15, 2025 | JKST 71 – 50 BCU |
| Feb 18, 2025 | JKST 84 – 71 BCU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | JKST 86 – 81 BCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BCU | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-17 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 11-7 |
| Home | 11-2 | 6-2 |
| Away | 5-11 | 7-13 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 75.6 |
| Massey | -11.0 (#326) | -5.4 (#267) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.60 (#313) | -0.15 (#191) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.10 (#317) | -0.64 (#230) |
| RPI | 0.404 (#327) | 0.493 (#182) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BCU | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 28.8% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.2% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 28.4% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.2% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 67.0% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 37.2% | 27.6% |
Game Analysis
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