Betting Lines
| Spread | BCU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | JKST +190 BCU -230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JKST +5 | 177 | Won |
| Massey | BCU -6.7 (+11.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.8 (+22.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BCU -5.2 (+10.2) | 147.5 (+29.5) | 28% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BCU -4.9 (+9.9) | 147.8 (+29.2) | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BCU -6.0 (+11.0) | 149.6 (+27.4) | 29% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BCU -5.2 (+10.2) | 148.6 (+28.4) | 30% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | BCU 85 – 48 JKST |
| Mar 15, 2025 | JKST 71 – 50 BCU |
| Feb 18, 2025 | JKST 84 – 71 BCU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | JKST 86 – 81 BCU |
| Feb 20, 2024 | JKST 61 – 60 BCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JKST | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 14-4 |
| Home | 7-3 | 10-1 |
| Away | 4-15 | 7-11 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.8 | 77.5 |
| Massey | -16.6 (#356) | -6.9 (#275) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.56 (#305) | -0.44 (#211) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.17 (#313) | -0.58 (#212) |
| RPI | 0.443 (#286) | 0.494 (#198) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JKST | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.3% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.1% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.6% | 27.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 62.9% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.7% | 28.4% |
Game Analysis
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