Betting Lines
| Spread | JKST -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | JKST -165 BCU +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JKST +21 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | JKST -0.1 (+20.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.9 (-21.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JKST -0.9 (+20.1) | 139.2 (-18.2) | 54% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JKST -1.6 (+19.4) | 141.2 (-20.2) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JKST -0.9 (+20.1) | 140.3 (-19.3) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JKST -0.5 (+20.5) | 138.3 (-17.3) | 56% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2026 | JKST 91 – 86 BCU |
| Jan 24, 2026 | BCU 85 – 48 JKST |
| Feb 18, 2025 | JKST 84 – 71 BCU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | JKST 86 – 81 BCU |
| Feb 20, 2024 | JKST 61 – 60 BCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JKST | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-18 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 13-5 |
| Home | 8-1 | 8-2 |
| Away | 6-15 | 7-12 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.6 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -6.9 (#276) | -7.0 (#278) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.88 (#249) | -0.67 (#232) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.12 (#255) | -1.13 (#256) |
| RPI | 0.518 (#141) | 0.487 (#203) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JKST | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 27.2% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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