Betting Lines
| Spread | BCU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Under |
| Money | BCU -375 JKST +295 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BCU +37 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | BCU -11.1 (+25.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.5 (-27.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BCU -9.4 (+27.6) | 151.0 (-18.0) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BCU -7.4 (+29.6) | 153.3 (-20.3) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BCU -9.2 (+27.8) | 151.4 (-18.4) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BCU -9.3 (+27.7) | 152.2 (-19.2) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2026 | JKST 91 – 86 BCU |
| Mar 15, 2025 | JKST 71 – 50 BCU |
| Feb 18, 2025 | JKST 84 – 71 BCU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | JKST 86 – 81 BCU |
| Feb 20, 2024 | JKST 61 – 60 BCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BCU | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 10-8 |
| Home | 10-1 | 7-3 |
| Away | 7-11 | 4-15 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.5 | 83.8 |
| Massey | -9.0 (#299) | -16.8 (#355) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.72 (#231) | -1.42 (#297) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.20 (#249) | -2.09 (#306) |
| RPI | 0.487 (#205) | 0.447 (#271) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BCU | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 39.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 46.4% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 24.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 55.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 65.9% | 60.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.5% | 30.8% |
Game Analysis
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