Betting Lines
| Spread | JKST -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | JKST -140 BCU +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JKST +5 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | BCU -0.1 (+5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.8 (+29.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BCU -0.5 (+5.5) | 137.8 (+29.2) | 49% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BCU -0.5 (+5.5) | 141.6 (+25.4) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BCU -0.6 (+5.6) | 141.7 (+25.3) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BCU -0.1 (+5.1) | 137.2 (+29.8) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2026 | JKST 91 – 86 BCU |
| Jan 24, 2026 | BCU 85 – 48 JKST |
| Mar 15, 2025 | JKST 71 – 50 BCU |
| Feb 18, 2025 | JKST 84 – 71 BCU |
| Feb 20, 2024 | JKST 61 – 60 BCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JKST | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-18 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 13-5 |
| Home | 8-1 | 8-2 |
| Away | 6-15 | 7-12 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.6 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -8.8 (#308) | -5.3 (#251) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.21 (#272) | -0.66 (#232) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.61 (#283) | -0.88 (#236) |
| RPI | 0.478 (#218) | 0.468 (#233) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JKST | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.3% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.64 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.1% | 45.9% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.6% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 67.2% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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