Betting Lines
| Spread | CSU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | WYO +250 CSU -350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WYO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WYO +3 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | CSU -10.5 (+13.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.3 (+7.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 22% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 13% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSU -9.6 (+12.6) | 144.8 (+10.2) | 22% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSU -9.3 (+12.3) | 143.2 (+11.8) | 24% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSU -8.5 (+11.5) | 144.8 (+10.2) | 19% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CSU -9.4 (+12.4) | 144.4 (+10.6) | 22% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | CSU 79 – 68 WYO |
| Feb 1, 2026 | WYO 68 – 57 CSU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | CSU 88 – 53 WYO |
| Jan 18, 2025 | CSU 79 – 63 WYO |
| Mar 2, 2024 | CSU 70 – 62 WYO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WYO | CSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 25-11 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 10-8 |
| Home | 9-5 | 15-2 |
| Away | 3-10 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 74.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.6 | 67.9 |
| Massey | -1.5 (#195) | 12.7 (#34) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.44 (#135) | 2.38 (#21) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.32 (#154) | 2.97 (#18) |
| RPI | 0.536 (#116) | 0.642 (#10) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WYO | CSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 49.9% |
| 3PT% | 37.7% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 1.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 56.8% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 24.4% |
| FT Rate | 31.1% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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