I'll write on your tombstone, "I thank you for dinner." "Bungle in the Jungle" - Jethro Tull
Colorado State Rams
70 – 62
FINAL Conference
Wyoming Cowboys
Mountain West Conference · Moby Arena · March 2, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread CSU -15.5 Away covered
O/U 145.5 Under
Money CSU -1600 / WYO +800
Model Predictions
Spread Total CSU win
Actual CSU +8 132 Won
Massey CSU -17.0 (-9.0) — —
Massey Totals — 144.7 (-12.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 90% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 95% ✓
Baseline Plus ML CSU -14.8 (-6.8) 142.8 (-10.8) 88% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CSU -13.1 (-5.1) 141.7 (-9.7) 87% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML CSU -14.6 (-6.6) 144.2 (-12.2) 88% ✓
Baseline ML CSU -13.4 (-5.4) 144.3 (-12.3) 88% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 14, 2026 CSU 79 – 68 WYO
Feb 1, 2026 WYO 68 – 57 CSU
Feb 15, 2025 CSU 88 – 53 WYO
Jan 18, 2025 CSU 79 – 63 WYO
Jan 27, 2024 WYO 79 – 76 CSU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CSU WYO
Overall 25-11 15-17
Conference 10-8 8-10
Home 15-2 9-5
Away 4-7 3-10
Neutral 6-2 3-2
Last 5 1-4 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 74.0 71.6
Avg Pts Against 67.9 75.6
Massey 12.5 (#35) -1.3 (#180)
Bradley-Terry 2.06 (#34) 0.44 (#131)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.68 (#28) 0.31 (#148)
RPI 0.597 (#29) 0.510 (#157)
Shooting & Four Factors CSU WYO
FG% 48.4% 44.0%
3PT% 34.0% 35.5%
REB / G 32.1 34.0
OREB / G 7.1 9.5
AST / TO 1.80 0.84
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 55.0% 50.5%
TOV% 14.9% 19.3%
ORB% 23.0% 28.8%
FT Rate 24.2% 29.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.3% 53.5%
Opp TOV% 17.3% 15.8%
DRB% 72.5% 70.2%
Opp FT Rate 22.7% 20.0%

Game Analysis

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