Betting Lines
| Spread | CSU -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | CSU -650 WYO +425 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSU +35 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | CSU -10.4 (+24.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.4 (+6.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSU -10.5 (+24.5) | 134.6 (+6.4) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSU -10.7 (+24.3) | 134.7 (+6.3) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSU -9.9 (+25.1) | 134.6 (+6.4) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSU -10.0 (+25.0) | 136.3 (+4.7) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | CSU 79 – 68 WYO |
| Feb 1, 2026 | WYO 68 – 57 CSU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | CSU 79 – 63 WYO |
| Mar 2, 2024 | CSU 70 – 62 WYO |
| Jan 27, 2024 | WYO 79 – 76 CSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSU | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-10 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 16-4 | 5-15 |
| Home | 14-2 | 8-7 |
| Away | 7-4 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 65.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.3 | 70.7 |
| Massey | 7.3 (#82) | 0.1 (#159) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.40 (#69) | 0.00 (#169) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.74 (#71) | -0.13 (#177) |
| RPI | 0.548 (#92) | 0.478 (#222) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSU | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 26.8% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 28.7% |
Game Analysis
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