Betting Lines
| Spread | CSU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | CSU -185 WYO +154 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSU +11 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | CSU -2.0 (+9.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.2 (+3.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSU -1.3 (+9.7) | 137.8 (+9.2) | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSU -4.0 (+7.0) | 136.2 (+10.8) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSU -3.0 (+8.0) | 136.8 (+10.2) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSU -2.8 (+8.2) | 138.1 (+8.9) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | WYO 68 – 57 CSU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | CSU 88 – 53 WYO |
| Jan 18, 2025 | CSU 79 – 63 WYO |
| Mar 2, 2024 | CSU 70 – 62 WYO |
| Jan 27, 2024 | WYO 79 – 76 CSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSU | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 9-11 |
| Home | 12-6 | 14-4 |
| Away | 6-5 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.8 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 72.9 |
| Massey | 5.7 (#97) | 6.6 (#88) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.75 (#99) | 0.50 (#113) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.21 (#91) | 0.84 (#104) |
| RPI | 0.523 (#127) | 0.510 (#158) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSU | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.0% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 39.4% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.7% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 34.7% |
| FT Rate | 29.0% | 29.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 34.4% |
Game Analysis
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