Betting Lines
| Spread | ETAM -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | ETAM -120 NICH +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ETAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NICH +3 | 171 | Lost |
| Massey | NICH -0.7 (-2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.0 (+30.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NICH -0.8 (-2.2) | 143.3 (+27.7) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NICH -0.9 (-2.1) | 138.9 (+32.1) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NICH -0.6 (-2.4) | 141.1 (+29.9) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NICH -0.5 (-2.5) | 143.0 (+28.0) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | NICH 72 – 68 ETAM |
| Jan 3, 2026 | NICH 80 – 58 ETAM |
| Feb 8, 2025 | NICH 81 – 65 ETAM |
| Jan 7, 2025 | NICH 83 – 61 ETAM |
| Mar 12, 2024 | NICH 72 – 51 ETAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ETAM | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 13-5 |
| Home | 8-7 | 10-2 |
| Away | 4-12 | 8-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.3 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.6 | 74.9 |
| Massey | -8.5 (#304) | -4.2 (#246) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.20 (#286) | -0.59 (#233) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.62 (#294) | -1.00 (#255) |
| RPI | 0.460 (#250) | 0.474 (#221) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ETAM | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.3% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 28.2% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 30.3 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.2% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 23.5% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 16.3% | 26.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 65.6% | 64.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.0% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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