Betting Lines
| Spread | SFA -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | SFA -150 CBU +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SFA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CBU +2 | 160 | Lost |
| Massey | SFA -6.1 (-8.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.0 (+26.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SFA -3.8 (-5.8) | 135.5 (+24.5) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SFA -4.4 (-6.4) | 132.9 (+27.1) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SFA -5.2 (-7.2) | 133.6 (+26.4) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SFA -4.3 (-6.3) | 135.7 (+24.3) | 64% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2024 | SFA 62 – 60 CBU |
| Feb 27, 2023 | SFA 80 – 58 CBU |
| Jan 30, 2022 | SFA 81 – 77 CBU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SFA | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 8-12 |
| Home | 10-5 | 11-7 |
| Away | 5-8 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 67.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 67.1 |
| Massey | 2.7 (#130) | 0.3 (#162) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#146) | -0.10 (#184) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.69 (#131) | 0.11 (#169) |
| RPI | 0.507 (#157) | 0.478 (#212) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SFA | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 22.9% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 35.7% | 34.1% |
| FT Rate | 29.2% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.4% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 75.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 37.5% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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