Betting Lines
| Spread | SFA -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | SFA -213 CBU +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SFA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SFA +22 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | SFA -5.2 (+16.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.1 (+1.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SFA -4.8 (+17.2) | 135.5 (+2.5) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SFA -5.2 (+16.8) | 138.2 (-0.2) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SFA -5.8 (+16.2) | 139.8 (-1.8) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SFA -5.3 (+16.7) | 139.5 (-1.5) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2024 | SFA 62 – 60 CBU |
| Jan 27, 2024 | CBU 81 – 79 SFA |
| Jan 30, 2022 | SFA 81 – 77 CBU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SFA | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 8-10 |
| Home | 12-4 | 13-5 |
| Away | 6-5 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 66.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 65.9 |
| Massey | 2.4 (#132) | 0.8 (#156) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.48 (#126) | -0.13 (#186) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.49 (#135) | 0.06 (#169) |
| RPI | 0.536 (#111) | 0.462 (#258) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SFA | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 39.7% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 21.7% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 28.3% | 19.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.1% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.3% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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