Betting Lines
| Spread | CBU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | CBU -115 SFA -111 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CBU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SFA +2 | 122 | Lost |
| Massey | CBU -1.7 (-3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.1 (-14.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CBU -0.4 (-2.4) | 135.4 (-13.4) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CBU -1.0 (-3.0) | 136.8 (-14.8) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CBU -0.6 (-2.6) | 136.5 (-14.5) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CBU -2.2 (-4.2) | 136.4 (-14.4) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 27, 2024 | CBU 81 – 79 SFA |
| Feb 27, 2023 | SFA 80 – 58 CBU |
| Jan 30, 2022 | SFA 81 – 77 CBU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CBU | SFA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 10-10 |
| Home | 11-7 | 10-5 |
| Away | 4-9 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.1 | 72.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.1 | 71.8 |
| Massey | -1.6 (#186) | -0.0 (#166) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.37 (#210) | -0.17 (#192) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.37 (#199) | 0.16 (#158) |
| RPI | 0.468 (#251) | 0.482 (#210) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CBU | SFA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 22.7% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 34.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 29.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 22.9% |
| DRB% | 75.6% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 34.5% |
Game Analysis
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