Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCA -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | CHSO +500 UNCA -600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CHSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCA +6 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | UNCA -7.2 (+1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.6 (-10.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCA -7.9 (+1.9) | 144.4 (-8.4) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCA -6.6 (+0.6) | 144.7 (-8.7) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNCA -6.8 (+0.8) | 146.4 (-10.4) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCA -7.1 (+1.1) | 146.0 (-10.0) | 26% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | CHSO 92 – 75 UNCA |
| Jan 3, 2026 | CHSO 86 – 83 UNCA |
| Mar 7, 2025 | UNCA 80 – 60 CHSO |
| Feb 15, 2025 | UNCA 75 – 72 CHSO |
| Jan 25, 2025 | UNCA 69 – 61 CHSO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CHSO | UNCA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-20 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 12-4 |
| Home | 7-7 | 12-2 |
| Away | 3-12 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.0 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 74.9 |
| Massey | -11.0 (#325) | -0.1 (#167) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.12 (#333) | 0.64 (#121) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.61 (#330) | 0.63 (#134) |
| RPI | 0.416 (#311) | 0.546 (#102) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CHSO | UNCA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 31.1 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.5% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 23.9% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 28.5% | 33.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.5% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 27.4% |
Game Analysis
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