Betting Lines
| Spread | VT -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | VT -500 GT +333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VT +24 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | VT -10.3 (+13.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.7 (+11.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VT -10.1 (+13.9) | 146.3 (+11.7) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VT -9.7 (+14.3) | 147.2 (+10.8) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VT -9.4 (+14.6) | 144.6 (+13.4) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VT -9.7 (+14.3) | 144.8 (+13.2) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2026 | VT 71 – 65 GT |
| Jan 23, 2025 | GT 71 – 64 VT |
| Feb 16, 2023 | GT 77 – 70 VT |
| Feb 24, 2022 | VT 62 – 58 GT |
| Feb 3, 2022 | VT 81 – 66 GT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VT | GT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 7-13 |
| Home | 15-2 | 8-7 |
| Away | 2-10 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 71.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 75.2 |
| Massey | 9.1 (#60) | 2.5 (#134) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.82 (#51) | 0.58 (#129) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.32 (#51) | 0.61 (#136) |
| RPI | 0.591 (#43) | 0.527 (#129) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VT | GT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 38.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 33.7% |
| FT Rate | 28.5% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 13.8% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
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