Betting Lines
| Spread | GT -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | GT -170 VT +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GT +7 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | GT -5.8 (+1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.9 (-6.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GT -4.2 (+2.8) | 140.5 (-5.5) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GT -3.9 (+3.1) | 141.0 (-6.0) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GT -4.1 (+2.9) | 141.9 (-6.9) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GT -4.7 (+2.3) | 141.4 (-6.4) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2026 | VT 71 – 65 GT |
| Jan 27, 2024 | VT 91 – 67 GT |
| Feb 16, 2023 | GT 77 – 70 VT |
| Feb 24, 2022 | VT 62 – 58 GT |
| Feb 3, 2022 | VT 81 – 66 GT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GT | VT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-17 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 8-12 |
| Home | 14-6 | 8-9 |
| Away | 2-9 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-5 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 69.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 73.2 |
| Massey | 2.5 (#121) | 0.2 (#158) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.48 (#221) | -0.01 (#182) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.40 (#199) | -0.18 (#189) |
| RPI | 0.460 (#243) | 0.483 (#206) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GT | VT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 33.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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