Betting Lines
| Spread | VT -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | VT -650 GT +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VT +15 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | VT -14.0 (+1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.1 (+16.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VT -12.7 (+2.3) | 136.9 (+10.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VT -11.4 (+3.6) | 135.5 (+11.5) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VT -11.4 (+3.6) | 139.1 (+7.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VT -11.8 (+3.2) | 139.7 (+7.3) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2026 | VT 71 – 65 GT |
| Jan 23, 2025 | GT 71 – 64 VT |
| Jan 27, 2024 | VT 91 – 67 GT |
| Feb 16, 2023 | GT 77 – 70 VT |
| Feb 24, 2022 | VT 62 – 58 GT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VT | GT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-13 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 5-15 |
| Home | 11-4 | 9-10 |
| Away | 7-6 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.8 | 71.3 |
| Massey | 10.9 (#39) | 0.2 (#162) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.90 (#111) | -0.00 (#177) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.44 (#90) | 0.23 (#154) |
| RPI | 0.545 (#95) | 0.477 (#205) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VT | GT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 41.1% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.3% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 16.1% | 17.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.7% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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