Betting Lines
| Spread | WCU -21.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | WCU -5000 VMI +3300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WCU +25 | 179 | Won |
| Massey | WCU -22.4 (+2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.5 (+31.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WCU -17.3 (+7.7) | 151.8 (+27.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WCU -15.8 (+9.2) | 149.4 (+29.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WCU -17.2 (+7.8) | 148.3 (+30.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WCU -17.1 (+7.9) | 149.4 (+29.6) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | WCU 81 – 62 VMI |
| Jan 24, 2026 | WCU 88 – 58 VMI |
| Feb 1, 2025 | VMI 80 – 76 WCU |
| Jan 15, 2025 | VMI 66 – 50 WCU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | WCU 84 – 51 VMI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WCU | VMI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-10 | 4-28 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 1-17 |
| Home | 12-3 | 4-10 |
| Away | 10-6 | 0-15 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L13 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 66.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 84.9 |
| Massey | 3.2 (#120) | -15.6 (#356) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.06 (#95) | -3.29 (#357) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.16 (#105) | -3.80 (#357) |
| RPI | 0.549 (#95) | 0.369 (#358) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WCU | VMI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 39.6 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.58 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 22.7% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 18.5% | 18.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.6% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 75.4% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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