Don't you understand that's not my problem? "Positively 4th Street" - Bob Dylan
Southern Conference · Ramsey Center · January 27, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread WCU -21.5 Home covered
O/U 152.5 Over
Money WCU -5000 / VMI +3300
Model Predictions
Spread Total WCU win
Actual WCU +25 179 Won
Massey WCU -22.4 (+2.6) — —
Massey Totals — 147.5 (+31.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 99% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 100% ✓
Baseline Plus ML WCU -17.1 (+7.9) 149.4 (+29.6) 90% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WCU -17.3 (+7.7) 151.8 (+27.2) 90% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML WCU -15.8 (+9.2) 149.4 (+29.6) 90% ✓
Baseline ML WCU -17.2 (+7.8) 148.3 (+30.7) 90% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 21, 2026 WCU 81 – 62 VMI
Jan 24, 2026 WCU 88 – 58 VMI
Feb 1, 2025 VMI 80 – 76 WCU
Jan 15, 2025 VMI 66 – 50 WCU
Feb 24, 2024 WCU 84 – 51 VMI

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WCU VMI
Overall 22-10 4-28
Conference 11-7 1-17
Home 12-3 4-10
Away 10-6 0-15
Neutral 0-1 0-3
Last 5 2-3 1-4
Streak L1 L13
Avg Pts For 75.1 66.7
Avg Pts Against 69.8 84.9
Massey 3.2 (#120) -15.6 (#356)
Bradley-Terry 1.06 (#95) -3.29 (#357)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.16 (#105) -3.80 (#357)
RPI 0.549 (#95) 0.369 (#358)
Shooting & Four Factors WCU VMI
FG% 44.3% 42.0%
3PT% 34.4% 33.1%
REB / G 39.6 36.9
OREB / G 10.5 9.8
AST / TO 1.06 0.58
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.6% 47.6%
TOV% 14.9% 22.7%
ORB% 29.4% 26.3%
FT Rate 18.5% 18.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.2% 52.8%
Opp TOV% 12.6% 14.7%
DRB% 75.4% 69.2%
Opp FT Rate 22.1% 19.6%

Game Analysis

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