Betting Lines
| Spread | VMI -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | WCU +105 VMI -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VMI +4 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | VMI -5.3 (+1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.0 (+12.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VMI -6.7 (+2.7) | 140.9 (+15.1) | 23% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VMI -3.7 (-0.3) | 142.4 (+13.6) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VMI -5.8 (+1.8) | 139.3 (+16.7) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VMI -5.6 (+1.6) | 138.4 (+17.6) | 24% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | WCU 81 – 62 VMI |
| Jan 24, 2026 | WCU 88 – 58 VMI |
| Jan 15, 2025 | VMI 66 – 50 WCU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | WCU 84 – 51 VMI |
| Jan 27, 2024 | WCU 102 – 77 VMI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WCU | VMI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-22 | 15-19 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 7-11 |
| Home | 7-7 | 7-7 |
| Away | 1-14 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.1 | 69.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.6 | 75.5 |
| Massey | -15.8 (#356) | -7.3 (#281) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.40 (#338) | -1.33 (#284) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.20 (#347) | -1.27 (#255) |
| RPI | 0.418 (#315) | 0.442 (#277) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WCU | VMI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.7% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 27.1% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.67 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.3% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 26.4% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 28.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 55.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 18.2% |
Game Analysis
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