They smelled of pubs and Wormwood Scrubs and too many right wing meetings. "Down in the Tube Station at Midnight" - The Jam
Southern Conference · Cameron Hall · February 24, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread WCU -16.5 Away covered
O/U 157.5 Under
Money VMI +800 / WCU -1600
Model Predictions
Spread Total VMI win
Actual WCU +33 135 Lost
Massey WCU -15.5 (-17.5) — —
Massey Totals — 152.1 (-17.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 3% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 2% ✓
Baseline Plus ML WCU -15.3 (-17.7) 147.0 (-12.0) 13% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WCU -13.8 (-19.2) 148.9 (-13.9) 14% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML WCU -15.4 (-17.6) 146.0 (-11.0) 13% ✓
Baseline ML WCU -15.6 (-17.4) 146.8 (-11.8) 13% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 21, 2026 WCU 81 – 62 VMI
Jan 24, 2026 WCU 88 – 58 VMI
Feb 1, 2025 VMI 80 – 76 WCU
Jan 15, 2025 VMI 66 – 50 WCU
Jan 27, 2024 WCU 102 – 77 VMI

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings VMI WCU
Overall 4-28 22-10
Conference 1-17 11-7
Home 4-10 12-3
Away 0-15 10-6
Neutral 0-3 0-1
Last 5 0-5 3-2
Streak L13 L1
Avg Pts For 66.7 75.1
Avg Pts Against 84.9 69.8
Massey -16.2 (#357) 2.6 (#131)
Bradley-Terry -3.51 (#361) 0.77 (#115)
W. Bradley-Terry -4.00 (#358) 0.83 (#123)
RPI 0.369 (#359) 0.532 (#119)
Shooting & Four Factors VMI WCU
FG% 41.7% 44.1%
3PT% 30.2% 36.2%
REB / G 36.1 38.2
OREB / G 9.2 10.4
AST / TO 0.59 1.09
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.7% 50.6%
TOV% 21.4% 14.5%
ORB% 24.7% 28.8%
FT Rate 19.3% 20.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.7% 47.6%
Opp TOV% 15.0% 13.4%
DRB% 69.2% 75.2%
Opp FT Rate 20.1% 23.1%

Game Analysis

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