Betting Lines
| Spread | WCU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | WCU -440 VMI +340 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WCU +30 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | WCU -10.4 (+19.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.2 (-9.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WCU -8.1 (+21.9) | 147.5 (-1.5) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WCU -7.7 (+22.3) | 149.9 (-3.9) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WCU -8.4 (+21.6) | 146.0 (-0.0) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WCU -8.6 (+21.4) | 147.3 (-1.3) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | WCU 81 – 62 VMI |
| Feb 1, 2025 | VMI 80 – 76 WCU |
| Jan 15, 2025 | VMI 66 – 50 WCU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | WCU 84 – 51 VMI |
| Jan 27, 2024 | WCU 102 – 77 VMI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WCU | VMI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 6-26 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 1-17 |
| Home | 10-3 | 5-9 |
| Away | 4-12 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L17 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.0 | 83.2 |
| Massey | -8.2 (#292) | -15.3 (#352) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.41 (#295) | -2.78 (#349) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.89 (#297) | -3.44 (#348) |
| RPI | 0.459 (#241) | 0.377 (#348) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WCU | VMI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 38.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.2% | 55.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 61.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.2% | 28.5% |
Game Analysis
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