Betting Lines
| Spread | WCU -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | VMI +330 WCU -425 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VMI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WCU +19 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | WCU -8.7 (-10.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.1 (-14.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WCU -8.0 (-11.0) | 150.3 (-7.3) | 30% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WCU -6.9 (-12.1) | 150.2 (-7.2) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WCU -8.0 (-11.0) | 148.9 (-5.9) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WCU -7.3 (-11.7) | 149.9 (-6.9) | 25% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | WCU 88 – 58 VMI |
| Feb 1, 2025 | VMI 80 – 76 WCU |
| Jan 15, 2025 | VMI 66 – 50 WCU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | WCU 84 – 51 VMI |
| Jan 27, 2024 | WCU 102 – 77 VMI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VMI | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-26 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 1-17 | 10-8 |
| Home | 5-9 | 10-3 |
| Away | 1-14 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L17 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.2 | 79.0 |
| Massey | -17.7 (#358) | -6.0 (#263) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.98 (#355) | -1.06 (#265) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.58 (#354) | -1.50 (#278) |
| RPI | 0.369 (#359) | 0.478 (#228) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VMI | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.0% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 30.8 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 25.9% | 34.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.0% | 55.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 61.8% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 29.5% |
Game Analysis
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