In North Carolina way back in the hills, there lived my pappy and he had him a still. "White Lightning" - The Big Bopper
Cornell Big Red
83 – 68
FINAL Conference
Princeton Tigers
Ivy League · Newman Arena · January 27, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread PRIN -2.5 Home covered
O/U 160.5 Under
Money COR +115 / PRIN -150
Model Predictions
Spread Total COR win
Actual COR +15 151 Won
Massey PRIN -2.0 (+17.0) — —
Massey Totals — 160.3 (-9.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 40% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 30% ✗
Baseline Plus ML PRIN -0.4 (+15.4) 152.5 (-1.5) 48% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ PRIN -1.6 (+16.6) 150.5 (+0.5) 46% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML PRIN -1.1 (+16.1) 154.1 (-3.1) 46% ✗
Baseline ML PRIN -0.5 (+15.5) 153.5 (-2.5) 51% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 14, 2026 COR 89 – 65 PRIN
Jan 30, 2026 COR 87 – 64 PRIN
Mar 2, 2025 COR 102 – 70 PRIN
Jan 25, 2025 COR 85 – 76 PRIN
Mar 3, 2024 PRIN 79 – 77 COR

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings COR PRIN
Overall 22-8 24-5
Conference 11-3 12-2
Home 10-1 12-1
Away 10-6 11-3
Neutral 2-1 1-1
Last 5 4-1 4-1
Streak L2 L2
Avg Pts For 80.4 76.3
Avg Pts Against 75.2 68.1
Massey 5.2 (#98) 10.9 (#45)
Bradley-Terry 1.78 (#55) 2.87 (#9)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.87 (#73) 3.45 (#8)
RPI 0.581 (#56) 0.620 (#19)
Shooting & Four Factors COR PRIN
FG% 49.4% 47.8%
3PT% 34.0% 36.1%
REB / G 35.0 32.1
OREB / G 9.4 8.2
AST / TO 1.27 1.57
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 57.5% 56.6%
TOV% 18.6% 13.8%
ORB% 28.6% 26.3%
FT Rate 23.1% 20.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.6% 49.7%
Opp TOV% 19.6% 17.7%
DRB% 68.1% 73.5%
Opp FT Rate 19.4% 17.7%

Game Analysis

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