Betting Lines
| Spread | PRIN -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Under |
| Money | COR +115 PRIN -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COR +15 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | PRIN -2.0 (+17.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.3 (-9.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 30% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRIN -1.6 (+16.6) | 150.5 (+0.5) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRIN -1.1 (+16.1) | 154.1 (-3.1) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PRIN -0.5 (+15.5) | 153.5 (-2.5) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRIN -0.4 (+15.4) | 152.5 (-1.5) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | COR 89 – 65 PRIN |
| Jan 30, 2026 | COR 87 – 64 PRIN |
| Mar 2, 2025 | COR 102 – 70 PRIN |
| Jan 25, 2025 | COR 85 – 76 PRIN |
| Mar 3, 2024 | PRIN 79 – 77 COR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COR | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-8 | 24-5 |
| Conference | 11-3 | 12-2 |
| Home | 10-1 | 12-1 |
| Away | 10-6 | 11-3 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.4 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 68.1 |
| Massey | 5.2 (#98) | 10.9 (#45) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.78 (#55) | 2.87 (#9) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.87 (#73) | 3.45 (#8) |
| RPI | 0.581 (#56) | 0.620 (#19) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COR | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.4% | 47.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 1.57 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.5% | 56.6% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 13.8% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 17.7% |
Game Analysis
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