Betting Lines
| Spread | PRIN -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Over |
| Money | PRIN -175 COR +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COR +9 | 161 | Lost |
| Massey | PRIN -2.6 (-11.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.7 (-0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRIN -3.3 (-12.3) | 154.6 (+6.4) | 66% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRIN -3.7 (-12.7) | 153.6 (+7.4) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRIN -2.5 (-11.5) | 152.8 (+8.2) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PRIN -2.7 (-11.7) | 153.9 (+7.1) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | COR 89 – 65 PRIN |
| Jan 30, 2026 | COR 87 – 64 PRIN |
| Mar 2, 2025 | COR 102 – 70 PRIN |
| Mar 3, 2024 | PRIN 79 – 77 COR |
| Jan 27, 2024 | COR 83 – 68 PRIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRIN | COR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-11 | 18-11 |
| Conference | 8-6 | 9-5 |
| Home | 9-4 | 9-5 |
| Away | 7-4 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 83.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 78.7 |
| Massey | 1.1 (#146) | 1.9 (#134) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.17 (#83) | 0.23 (#156) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.92 (#102) | 0.40 (#147) |
| RPI | 0.569 (#63) | 0.525 (#131) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRIN | COR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 51.0% |
| 3PT% | 37.4% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.45 | 1.42 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 59.5% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 26.4% | 25.2% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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