Betting Lines
| Spread | PRIN -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | PRIN -225 COR +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRIN +2 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | PRIN -7.0 (-5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.8 (+1.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRIN -5.9 (-3.9) | 145.5 (+10.5) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRIN -6.7 (-4.7) | 148.4 (+7.6) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRIN -6.7 (-4.7) | 147.3 (+8.7) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRIN -6.4 (-4.4) | 149.1 (+6.9) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | COR 89 – 65 PRIN |
| Jan 30, 2026 | COR 87 – 64 PRIN |
| Mar 2, 2025 | COR 102 – 70 PRIN |
| Jan 25, 2025 | COR 85 – 76 PRIN |
| Jan 27, 2024 | COR 83 – 68 PRIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRIN | COR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-5 | 22-8 |
| Conference | 12-2 | 11-3 |
| Home | 12-1 | 10-1 |
| Away | 11-3 | 10-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 80.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 75.2 |
| Massey | 8.6 (#70) | 4.8 (#104) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.35 (#21) | 1.65 (#57) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.64 (#27) | 1.95 (#60) |
| RPI | 0.613 (#15) | 0.581 (#46) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRIN | COR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 48.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.73 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.3% | 56.8% |
| TOV% | 12.3% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 23.5% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 74.8% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.0% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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