Betting Lines
| Spread | COR -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | PRIN +142 COR -170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COR +24 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | COR -1.5 (-22.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 166.5 (-12.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COR -0.3 (-23.7) | 153.7 (+0.3) | 41% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COR -0.2 (-23.8) | 158.8 (-4.8) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COR -0.8 (-23.2) | 153.6 (+0.4) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COR -0.9 (-23.1) | 155.2 (-1.2) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | COR 87 – 64 PRIN |
| Mar 2, 2025 | COR 102 – 70 PRIN |
| Jan 25, 2025 | COR 85 – 76 PRIN |
| Mar 3, 2024 | PRIN 79 – 77 COR |
| Jan 27, 2024 | COR 83 – 68 PRIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRIN | COR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-20 | 15-13 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 8-6 |
| Home | 8-4 | 7-4 |
| Away | 1-12 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 85.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 84.6 |
| Massey | -4.1 (#229) | 0.3 (#157) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.01 (#257) | -0.39 (#209) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.02 (#242) | -0.51 (#208) |
| RPI | 0.462 (#248) | 0.516 (#139) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRIN | COR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 48.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 39.1% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 58.6% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 57.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
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