Betting Lines
| Spread | COR -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | COR -195 PRIN +165 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COR +32 | 172 | Won |
| Massey | COR -5.3 (+26.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.4 (+16.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COR -5.0 (+27.0) | 151.2 (+20.8) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COR -4.8 (+27.2) | 149.5 (+22.5) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COR -4.8 (+27.2) | 148.8 (+23.2) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COR -4.2 (+27.8) | 151.5 (+20.5) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | COR 89 – 65 PRIN |
| Jan 30, 2026 | COR 87 – 64 PRIN |
| Jan 25, 2025 | COR 85 – 76 PRIN |
| Mar 3, 2024 | PRIN 79 – 77 COR |
| Jan 27, 2024 | COR 83 – 68 PRIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COR | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-11 | 19-11 |
| Conference | 9-5 | 8-6 |
| Home | 9-5 | 9-4 |
| Away | 8-5 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.4 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.7 | 72.4 |
| Massey | 0.9 (#146) | -1.1 (#180) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.05 (#161) | 0.51 (#125) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.08 (#162) | 0.08 (#163) |
| RPI | 0.519 (#148) | 0.545 (#92) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COR | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.3% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.41 | 1.37 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.0% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 26.6% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 18.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 75.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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