Tire tracks all across your back - I can see you've had your fun. "Crosstown Traffic"- Jimi Hendrix
Big 12 Conference · Lloyd Noble Center · January 27, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread OU -3.5 Away covered
O/U 139.5 Over
Money OU -167 / TTU +130
Model Predictions
Spread Total OU win
Actual TTU +1 169 Lost
Massey OU -4.3 (-5.3) — —
Massey Totals — 141.0 (+28.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 65% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 68% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ OU -4.1 (-5.1) 139.5 (+29.5) 71% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML OU -3.8 (-4.8) 140.6 (+28.4) 68% ✗
Baseline ML OU -3.8 (-4.8) 141.2 (+27.8) 69% ✗
Baseline Plus ML OU -3.6 (-4.6) 141.0 (+28.0) 67% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 22, 2023 TTU 74 – 63 OU
Jan 8, 2023 OU 68 – 63 TTU
Mar 12, 2022 TTU 56 – 55 OU
Feb 23, 2022 TTU 66 – 42 OU
Feb 10, 2022 OU 70 – 55 TTU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings OU TTU
Overall 20-12 23-11
Conference 8-10 11-7
Home 14-4 15-2
Away 3-6 4-6
Neutral 3-2 4-3
Last 5 2-3 4-1
Streak L2 L2
Avg Pts For 75.4 75.3
Avg Pts Against 68.8 69.6
Massey 12.8 (#33) 12.2 (#37)
Bradley-Terry 2.31 (#23) 2.38 (#22)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.73 (#31) 2.74 (#30)
RPI 0.587 (#46) 0.602 (#31)
Shooting & Four Factors OU TTU
FG% 48.1% 46.0%
3PT% 34.1% 36.7%
REB / G 37.4 35.4
OREB / G 10.5 10.3
AST / TO 1.11 1.42
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 54.4% 53.5%
TOV% 18.4% 15.7%
ORB% 32.4% 31.5%
FT Rate 25.9% 26.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 45.4% 48.8%
Opp TOV% 18.1% 18.5%
DRB% 74.5% 69.9%
Opp FT Rate 22.2% 14.5%

Game Analysis

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