Betting Lines
| Spread | TTU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 124.5 Under |
| Money | TTU -320 OU +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TTU +1 | 111 | Won |
| Massey | TTU -6.2 (-5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.4 (-16.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TTU -5.3 (-4.3) | 124.4 (-13.4) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TTU -5.5 (-4.5) | 127.8 (-16.8) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TTU -6.0 (-5.0) | 126.2 (-15.2) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TTU -4.6 (-3.6) | 127.8 (-16.8) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 27, 2024 | TTU 85 – 84 OU |
| Feb 22, 2023 | TTU 74 – 63 OU |
| Jan 8, 2023 | OU 68 – 63 TTU |
| Feb 23, 2022 | TTU 66 – 42 OU |
| Feb 10, 2022 | OU 70 – 55 TTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TTU | OU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-10 | 19-16 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 7-11 |
| Home | 18-0 | 12-6 |
| Away | 3-8 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 69.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 60.6 | 65.0 |
| Massey | 17.8 (#10) | 11.6 (#29) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.07 (#12) | 2.01 (#41) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.92 (#8) | 2.75 (#33) |
| RPI | 0.587 (#35) | 0.540 (#97) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TTU | OU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 47.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 54.9% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 22.1% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 25.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.5% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.6% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 19.7% |
Game Analysis
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