Betting Lines
| Spread | TTU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | TTU -225 OU +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OU +5 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | TTU -7.7 (-12.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.1 (-2.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TTU -6.0 (-11.0) | 135.9 (-4.9) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TTU -6.1 (-11.1) | 139.2 (-8.2) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TTU -5.3 (-10.3) | 141.0 (-10.0) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TTU -5.8 (-10.8) | 135.7 (-4.7) | 67% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 27, 2024 | TTU 85 – 84 OU |
| Feb 22, 2023 | TTU 74 – 63 OU |
| Mar 12, 2022 | TTU 56 – 55 OU |
| Feb 23, 2022 | TTU 66 – 42 OU |
| Feb 10, 2022 | OU 70 – 55 TTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TTU | OU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 5-13 |
| Home | 11-6 | 9-7 |
| Away | 3-7 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 67.5 |
| Massey | 12.2 (#24) | 8.7 (#60) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.00 (#84) | 1.41 (#69) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.21 (#94) | 2.37 (#47) |
| RPI | 0.509 (#165) | 0.556 (#79) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TTU | OU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.2% | 49.9% |
| 3PT% | 37.5% | 38.8% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 31.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 6.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.1% | 57.0% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 22.5% |
| FT Rate | 28.6% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.6% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.6% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 76.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.7% | 18.1% |
Game Analysis
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