Betting Lines
| Spread | TTU -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TTU +24 | 108 | Won |
| Massey | TTU -9.0 (+15.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.5 (-23.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TTU -10.2 (+13.8) | 131.0 (-23.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TTU -9.2 (+14.8) | 134.7 (-26.7) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TTU -9.4 (+14.6) | 134.4 (-26.4) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TTU -9.7 (+14.3) | 133.5 (-25.5) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 27, 2024 | TTU 85 – 84 OU |
| Feb 22, 2023 | TTU 74 – 63 OU |
| Jan 8, 2023 | OU 68 – 63 TTU |
| Mar 12, 2022 | TTU 56 – 55 OU |
| Feb 10, 2022 | OU 70 – 55 TTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TTU | OU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-10 | 19-16 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 7-11 |
| Home | 18-0 | 12-6 |
| Away | 3-8 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 69.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 60.6 | 65.0 |
| Massey | 17.4 (#13) | 11.1 (#37) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.30 (#8) | 1.66 (#57) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.00 (#9) | 2.43 (#40) |
| RPI | 0.603 (#27) | 0.533 (#118) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TTU | OU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 47.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 54.7% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 34.7% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 27.1% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.6% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.4% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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