Betting Lines
| Spread | TTU -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OU +15 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | TTU -3.5 (+18.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.1 (-4.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 26% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TTU -2.7 (+17.7) | 126.9 (-1.9) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TTU -2.6 (+17.6) | 132.0 (-7.0) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TTU -1.9 (+16.9) | 132.7 (-7.7) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TTU -1.6 (+16.6) | 131.4 (-6.4) | 46% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 27, 2024 | TTU 85 – 84 OU |
| Feb 22, 2023 | TTU 74 – 63 OU |
| Jan 8, 2023 | OU 68 – 63 TTU |
| Mar 12, 2022 | TTU 56 – 55 OU |
| Feb 23, 2022 | TTU 66 – 42 OU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OU | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-16 | 27-10 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 12-6 |
| Home | 12-6 | 18-0 |
| Away | 3-8 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.1 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.0 | 60.6 |
| Massey | 10.7 (#39) | 17.4 (#12) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.69 (#59) | 3.25 (#11) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.40 (#44) | 4.05 (#12) |
| RPI | 0.546 (#89) | 0.597 (#32) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OU | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.0% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 37.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.5% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 21.9% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 35.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 44.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.7% | 23.4% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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