Betting Lines
| Spread | OU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | OU -150 TTU +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TTU +11 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | OU -1.8 (-12.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.3 (+0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OU -1.7 (-12.7) | 139.6 (-2.6) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OU -2.7 (-13.7) | 141.9 (-4.9) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OU -2.1 (-13.1) | 143.6 (-6.6) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OU -1.8 (-12.8) | 140.4 (-3.4) | 58% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 27, 2024 | TTU 85 – 84 OU |
| Jan 8, 2023 | OU 68 – 63 TTU |
| Mar 12, 2022 | TTU 56 – 55 OU |
| Feb 23, 2022 | TTU 66 – 42 OU |
| Feb 10, 2022 | OU 70 – 55 TTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OU | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 5-13 |
| Home | 9-7 | 11-6 |
| Away | 2-8 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.5 | 69.0 |
| Massey | 8.8 (#63) | 10.5 (#42) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.49 (#59) | 1.42 (#64) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.18 (#50) | 1.86 (#60) |
| RPI | 0.539 (#107) | 0.518 (#143) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OU | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.2 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 23.9% | 32.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 26.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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