Betting Lines
| Spread | ACU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Under |
| Money | ACU -250 SUU +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ACU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SUU +15 | 149 | Lost |
| Massey | ACU -4.1 (-19.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.9 (-9.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ACU -2.0 (-17.0) | 151.5 (-2.5) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ACU -2.5 (-17.5) | 151.3 (-2.3) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ACU -2.7 (-17.7) | 152.1 (-3.1) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ACU -2.6 (-17.6) | 153.1 (-4.1) | 66% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | ACU 87 – 83 SUU |
| Jan 31, 2026 | SUU 79 – 76 ACU |
| Jan 18, 2026 | SUU 74 – 52 ACU |
| Feb 21, 2025 | ACU 75 – 59 SUU |
| Feb 9, 2025 | ACU 84 – 70 SUU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ACU | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-18 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 5-15 |
| Home | 8-6 | 6-8 |
| Away | 5-10 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 77.8 |
| Massey | -2.9 (#213) | -3.4 (#228) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.54 (#228) | -0.90 (#262) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.45 (#217) | -0.82 (#240) |
| RPI | 0.467 (#233) | 0.454 (#263) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ACU | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 28.9% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 24.9% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 30.0% | 28.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.8% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.6% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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