Betting Lines
| Spread | ACU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | ACU -278 SUU +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ACU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SUU +3 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | ACU -6.6 (-9.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.5 (+6.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ACU -4.5 (-7.5) | 144.2 (+10.8) | 70% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ACU -5.7 (-8.7) | 142.0 (+13.0) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ACU -3.9 (-6.9) | 143.5 (+11.5) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ACU -4.2 (-7.2) | 143.6 (+11.4) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | ACU 87 – 83 SUU |
| Jan 18, 2026 | SUU 74 – 52 ACU |
| Feb 21, 2025 | ACU 75 – 59 SUU |
| Feb 9, 2025 | ACU 84 – 70 SUU |
| Mar 1, 2024 | ACU 77 – 68 SUU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ACU | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 6-12 |
| Home | 9-5 | 7-6 |
| Away | 3-12 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.9 | 81.3 |
| Massey | -6.2 (#261) | -9.6 (#303) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.46 (#211) | -1.15 (#273) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.72 (#220) | -1.42 (#262) |
| RPI | 0.491 (#200) | 0.424 (#311) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ACU | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 30.4 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 27.4% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.0% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.2% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 64.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 39.5% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.