Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | VAN +700 TENN -1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +13 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | TENN -17.6 (+4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.8 (-0.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -12.8 (-0.2) | 142.4 (-5.4) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -13.5 (+0.5) | 140.1 (-3.1) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -12.9 (-0.1) | 139.6 (-2.6) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -12.4 (-0.6) | 141.4 (-4.4) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | VAN 75 – 68 TENN |
| Mar 7, 2026 | VAN 86 – 82 TENN |
| Feb 21, 2026 | TENN 69 – 65 VAN |
| Feb 15, 2025 | TENN 81 – 76 VAN |
| Jan 18, 2025 | VAN 76 – 75 TENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VAN | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 27-9 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 14-4 |
| Home | 8-10 | 14-2 |
| Away | 1-9 | 8-3 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 5-4 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.9 | 67.4 |
| Massey | -2.5 (#206) | 18.8 (#8) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.11 (#278) | 3.16 (#6) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.33 (#279) | 3.99 (#5) |
| RPI | 0.457 (#256) | 0.672 (#2) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VAN | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.9% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 28.3% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 39.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.56 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.8% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 33.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 43.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 26.9% |
Game Analysis
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