Betting Lines
| Spread | YALE -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | HARV +188 YALE -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HARV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YALE +13 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | YALE -3.3 (-9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.2 (-0.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YALE -3.0 (-10.0) | 143.3 (-0.3) | 33% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YALE -3.6 (-9.4) | 143.4 (-0.4) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YALE -2.8 (-10.2) | 141.9 (+1.1) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YALE -3.2 (-9.8) | 143.1 (-0.1) | 33% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | YALE 76 – 75 HARV |
| Feb 1, 2026 | HARV 67 – 65 YALE |
| Mar 1, 2025 | HARV 74 – 69 YALE |
| Jan 25, 2025 | YALE 84 – 55 HARV |
| Mar 3, 2024 | YALE 80 – 60 HARV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HARV | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-13 | 23-10 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 11-3 |
| Home | 9-5 | 9-2 |
| Away | 5-7 | 9-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 68.9 |
| Massey | -1.6 (#196) | 5.3 (#96) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.46 (#133) | 1.04 (#97) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.61 (#137) | 1.30 (#97) |
| RPI | 0.519 (#137) | 0.567 (#79) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HARV | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.34 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 14.6% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.6% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.7% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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