Betting Lines
| Spread | YALE -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | YALE -800 HARV +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YALE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YALE +20 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | YALE -12.2 (+7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.5 (+0.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YALE -11.7 (+8.3) | 138.8 (+1.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YALE -11.6 (+8.4) | 139.0 (+1.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YALE -11.2 (+8.8) | 138.8 (+1.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YALE -11.6 (+8.4) | 137.9 (+2.1) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | YALE 76 – 75 HARV |
| Feb 1, 2026 | HARV 67 – 65 YALE |
| Mar 1, 2025 | HARV 74 – 69 YALE |
| Jan 25, 2025 | YALE 84 – 55 HARV |
| Jan 27, 2024 | YALE 78 – 65 HARV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YALE | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-10 | 14-13 |
| Conference | 11-3 | 5-9 |
| Home | 9-2 | 9-5 |
| Away | 9-6 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.2 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.9 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 6.6 (#90) | -2.4 (#208) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.44 (#70) | 0.16 (#154) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.71 (#73) | 0.21 (#154) |
| RPI | 0.601 (#26) | 0.504 (#163) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YALE | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.49 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 14.1% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 26.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 77.0% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 18.1% |
Game Analysis
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